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Change in Arizona’s Demographics Could Tip Elections

MONDAY, OCT 12, 2020

Less than a generation ago, Arizona was one of the most solidly Republican states in the nation. In 2020, its 7.3 million people will be residents of a hotly contested swing state with 11 electoral votes. President Donald Trump defeated Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton in 2016 by a 49-45 percent margin, about 90,000 votes. 

Since then, Arizona has added almost 340,000 new residents. Only 107,000 of the new additions have been white, non-Hispanic residents, according to a Social Explorer analysis of Census Bureau population estimates. More than 150,000 of the new residents are Hispanics, a demographic more likely to support Democratic candidates than a Trump re-election.


Change in Hispanic Population, 2016-18. Click here to explore further.

Author: Frank Bass

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